This week our Teaser Tuesday will consist of the two teams that we think will be fighting for the AFC West Division title in Denver on January 1st, Denver Broncos and Oakland Raiders. This teaser also uses a successful strategy that we have bet for many years in week 2 of the NFL season. We like to tease home teams that won last week verses teams that lost at home in the first game of the season. Add in that the Falcons and Colts are from the Eastern Time Zone and will be traveling West. We feel confident in the way this teaser sets up.
Denver and Oakland have solid home crowds and won the first game of the NFL season after falling behind, while Atlanta and Indy lost home games after leading their respective games.
We used the Raiders last week verses the New Orleans Saints in our Young Gun teaser with the Bucs. Derek Carr engineered 22 points in the 4th quarter to out duel Drew Brees in the Super Dome and walked away with the win. We expect them to press Atlanta from the opening drive. Whether on offense or defense, the edge sides with the Black & Silver. Specifically, watch the match up of Mack & Irvin verses Matthews. Matty Ice will be melting under the bright California sun from the Oakland pass rush. Mack & Irvin will account for 3+ sacks.
Atlanta didn’t address their biggest needs in the offseason. We expected The ATL to select OL or DL, instead they drafted Keanu Neal (a safety out of Florida). While Neal is a solid player, he has been sidelined due to an injury and will be of no help to Falcon’s defense.
Denver completes the second leg of our 2-team, 6-point teaser. Indy was handed one of the worst losses that we have seen in years. After taking the lead in the final minute of their game last week, the porous Colts defense let Stafford lead the Lions down the field for the winning field goal. Detroit made enough mistakes in that drive (and game) to lose it. The victory was all but gift wrapped by the Indianapolis Colts. Now the Colts have to travel to Mile High. Talk about a tough trip. The Broncos are rested and are settled at QB. We think the Broncos defense is fast enough to negate any edge that the talented Andrew Luck provides the Colts. He is still very dangerous and can take over a game.
The backdoor cover (BDC) is vulnerable in each of these games. The teaser bet gives us cushion to avoid the dreaded BDC through a garbage score.
We will tease the point spread down so that both teams need to win. Sometimes we like to juice live dogs, but in this tease we are going with the home teams in Oakland and Denver to just win baby!
This is a 2-team, 6-point teaser at South Point. We bet $120 to win $100
Denver Broncos (pick)
Oakland Raiders + .5
FYI, South Point is one our 7 favorite sports books in town… more about that list later